Tag: 2024-presidential-election

JEWS FOR KAMALA

I have made this point many times during the 2024 presidential election campaign, but it bears repeating. Why in the world would any Jew who is thinking objectively and who cares about Israel and the welfare of American Jews, vote for Kamala Harris? For that matter, why would they vote for any Democrat? After all, Dem pols are supporting Harris, or at least they are reluctant to speak out in contradiction of her antipathy toward Jews. I don’t get it; it’s inane; it’s not logical.

Perhaps, it is due to habit and inertia. They’ve always voted Dem; their parents always voted Dem; so, they continue the practice without giving it serious thought or analysis. In any case the Dems have abandoned the Jews and Jewish causes. They have not been loyal to you, so you no longer owe them your loyalty. Jews need to have an open mind.

Another reason is some voters, although they agree with Trump’s policies, despise him intensely on a personal basis and refuse to vote for him under any circumstances. That is just ridiculous, inane and fatuous. If Trump were to lose the election he would, of course, be disappointed. But he would not be devastated. He would merely return to his previous life as a billionaire entrepreneur and entertainer. We, on the other hand, would be saddled with the same policies we are suffering under now. Therefore, anti-Trumpers would be “cutting off their noses to spite their face.

Perhaps, a brief review of Harris’ actions and non-actions since becoming the nominee would be helpful and appropriate.

  1. Among her staunchest supporters is the antisemitic far left wing of the Dem Party. It’s obvious that she is afraid of offending them. This includes “Squad” Congresswomen, such as AOC (NY), Ayanna Pressley (MA), Rashida Tlaib (MI), and Ilhan Omar (MN), among others. She knows she needs their support to win, and she will need their continuing support to govern. All have repeatedly expressed antisemitic and Anti-Israel attitudes. Furthermore, Tlaib and Omar are representatives of states that are Anti-Israel hotbeds. Harris needs those states’ electoral votes to win.
  2. Publicly, Harris (and Biden, for their policies and actions have been interchangeable) have stated that they support Israel, and it that it has the right to defend itself. (Thank you, Captain Obvious!) However, privately they have continually acted to restrict Israel’s response to the horrific October 7, 2013 sneak attacks. From the outset they have advocated “restraint” and demanded “precision” in its deployment of weaponry. It’s all right for the terrorists to attack indiscriminately, but the Israelis have to demonstrate “restraint” and “precision?” This is wholly unreasonable. What do “restraint” or “precision” even mean in this context? Also, tell me what other country in the history of the world when attacked has been urged to show “restraint?” The answer is “none.” Did the US show “restraint” after Pearl Harbor or 9/11? Of course not. But BH expected the Israelis to do so after October 7.
  3. BH threatened to withhold arms and support if Israel got too aggressive. In my view, the purpose of this was to placate their antisemitic far left wing and also Iran.
  4. BH and their minions objected to Netanyahu’s war strategy, so they tried to force him to resign or call for new elections. They trotted out political chameleon Chuck Schumer to give “the speech,” which I discussed in a previous blog. This type of outrageous interference in the internal workings of another sovereign government is not appropriate with respect to an ally, particularly one that is our only reliable one in the volatile and strategically crucial Middle East. Perhaps, BH need a lesson in geopolitics.
  5. BH insisted that a member of their administration sit in on Israel’s war cabinet meetings to suggest/approve strategies.
  6. BH continue to refuse to recognize that Iran is the root cause of the terrorism extant in the ME and take corrective action against it.
  7. BH have blamed a “significant deterioration” in the level of aid reaching the citizens of Gaza on Israel. They threatened to withhold aid if the Israelis did not allow more humanitarian aid into Gaza.
  8. Furthermore, they have long insisted that Israel not attack Rafah for “humanitarian reasons” even though there has been ample evidence that Hamas’ leadership was hiding there. Luckily, the IDF did not obey BH’s instructions. They attacked anyway. Douglas Murray, a columnist for the NY Post accompanied the IDF and filed an exclusive report describing the operation.
  9. Lo and behold, a few days ago, we learned that the 10/7 mastermind, Yahya Sinwar, had been hiding in that very area. He had set up luxury accommodations for his family and him deep within the labyrinth of tunnels under the city. In his report Murray described it as a “Rafah rat’s nest.” He reported “for the past 12 months [Sinwar] had [been] scurr[ying] like a rat through the tunnels he [had] spent years building.”
  10. In summary, he reported that the IDF found it to be well-stocked with food, medicine, and other provisions, including millions of dollars of cash that had been provided by the UN and had been earmarked for the Gazans. So, Sinwar and his family were living in relative luxury while the Gazans he and his men were supposedly “protecting” were starving. And all the while, the world had been criticizing Israel for keeping aid from the Gazans. How did he obtain all these goods? Either he stole them, or terrorist-sympathizing UN workers gave them to him. Either way, it is unconscionable.
  11. In addition, the IDF ascertained that Hamas had been smuggling rockets, guns and other weapons through this area. Had BH been cognizant of this while they were telling the IDF to refrain from attacking this area? Who knows, but I wouldn’t put it past them. The IDF also found passports and UN IDs, which indicates that Sinwar was planning to flee, like a coward, to Egypt with assistance from the UN. This is further evidence of the UN’s sympathizing with terrorists over Israel.
  12. This is just one of many examples of the UN’s blatant bias in regard to curbing terrorism in the ME. Another example is that since 2006 it has maintained a peacekeeping force in southern Lebanon to monitor the cease fire between Hezbollah and Israel. Recently, the NY Post reported that Hezbollah terrorists had dug a labyrinth of tunnels right under the noses of the peacekeepers which they had been utilizing to launch terror attacks in Israel. It described the UN as “worse than useless.”
  13. Opponents of Israel have persistently accused it of “genocide” against the Palestinians in Gaza. This accusation is not only inaccurate, but also it is inflammatory and dangerous. In point of fact, the Israelis have gone out of their way to minimize casualties, even providing advance warning of attacks so civilians could vacate the area. It is the Hamas terrorists who have shown a blatant disregard for Palestinian civilians by hiding among them and in hospitals and schools. The collateral damage means nothing to them. In fact, they want it for the optics. Unfortunately, this accusation has been accepted by many people. In a recent campaign speech Harris added fuel to the fire by stating that “[genocide] is real.” That was totally irresponsible. She should know better. She said it to rile up her base for votes. Afterwards, an anonymous campaign official attempted to clean it up, but she said what she said.
  14. As I have written in previous blogs BH have basically ignored the ongoing displays of antisemitism against American Jews. They have done nothing to deal with the violence on college campuses, nor the surging rate of crimes against Jews. They have many options. For example, they could have demanded that the college administrators deal with the matter or else lose funding. The Federal government provides a significant amount of financial aid to these universities in the form of grants. It also has the option to initiate legal action. They could have weaponized the Justice Department, Homeland Security and/or the FBI to investigate the masterminds behind the protests.
  15. Few people, think the protesters are all “students” who just happened to organize. In fact, according to a recently published study conducted by George Washington University Iranian agents have been “funding and fueling hate” on college campuses.
  16. It is no surprise that Harris has met several times with Imam Mohammed Ali Fahiem, who has deep ties with the Iranian regime, is vehemently antisemitic and anti-Israel, and is one of the suspected leaders of the antisemitic program against American Jews.
  17. In addition, they have done nothing to curb the overt and covert antisemitism against Jewish citizens.

CONCLUSION

Kudos to Israel for standing its ground against BH. Otherwise, we would have never found and killed Sinwar and discovered the duplicity of Hamas, the UN, and perhaps BH. This operation dealt a damaging blow to Hamas. I have often said the quickest way to rescue the hostages is to let Israel win the war.

Rather than criticizing Israel for its war strategy it should be admired for its determination to eradicate Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and the rest of its enemies once and for all. In a sense it is fighting this war for all of us. Iran and the terrorists have been clear that they hate all “non-believers.” That includes all of us. If they were to succeed in annihilating Israel, they would not stop their aggression. Have we not learned anything from history?

Thankfully, there have been signs that the message is resonating with Jews. According to a recent poll by the Manhattan Institute Jewish support for Dems has been deteriorating. Currently, it is at 67%, which is the lowest in 40 years. By comparison 80% of Jews voted for Bill Clinton in 1992. The same poll reported that 86% of Jews supported Israel. Their chief complaint, according to Jesse Arm, chief of staff at the Institute was the Dem Party’s “tolerance” of the extreme criticism being levelled against Israel, notably calling it “genocidal.”

Anti-Trumpers, wake up. As I said above if you vote for Harris just because you hate Trump personally, you would onlybe hurting yourselves.

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2024 ELECTION UPDATE – HARRIS LAYS AN EGG ON FOX NEWS

A few months ago, when the Dem Party leaders selected Harris as the nominee, I asserted that her political policies were extremely far to the left, and if the public were aware of them, she would lose in a landslide. According to multiple media reports, at the outset of the campaign some 70% of the voters were unclear as to her policies and voting record. Consequently, for most of the campaign the polls have reported the race to be extremely close, virtually a dead heat. l suggested that in order to win her election strategy should be to endeavor to keep these policies hidden. Therefore, her overall strategy should adhere to the following principles:

  1. Say as little as possible.
  2. When forced to speak to the media only do so with friendly journalists who would not press her or ask follow-up questions.
  3. Limit her speeches to scripted comments and speak in generalities, rather than specifics.
  4. Rely on the friendly media to cover up, omit or alter any faux pas.
  5. When all else fails attack Trump and blame him for everything.

Conversely, Trump’s winning strategy was to somehow make the public aware of Harris’ far left policies. I believe that this strategy has been somewhat successful as more voters have become cognizant of Harris’ policies. The question is, is it enough.

For the most part Harris’ strategy was successful until recently. In the last week, however, it was becoming apparent that Trump had seized the momentum, which is very significant in elections. The Harris campaign had come to realize that she needed to change the narrative in order to regain the momentum. It decided that she should grant more interviews, including one with Fox News. It was a gamble, but it was one she had to risk. A few days ago, she participated in a one-on-one interview with Fox’s Bret Baer. Baer had a well-earned reputation of being fair but tough. Harris would have to be on her “A” game.

In a nutshell, she was not, not even close. Basically, she “laid an egg.” She was exposed before a huge audience. For many of them it was her first exposure to them. Rather than attract undecided voters, she turned them off.

My analysis of the interview is as follows:

  1. Parts of it were painful to watch. From the outset Harris appeared to be uncomfortable, defensive and argumentative.
  2. Baer was professional and respectful, but he did not let her get away with vague, general, non-responsive, and incomplete answers, which normally are her staple. Whenever she tried that he challenged her and asked follow-up questions in order to elicit an appropriate answer. Clearly, her inexperience with probing questions showed. She was not used to being challenged, and she didn’t handle it well.
  3. The interview was short – only 26 minutes. At some point, Baer realized that the point of her rambling, “word-salad” responses was to “run out the clock.” He began to interrupt her answers in order to elicit meaningful information. In some cases, she snapped back a retort like “may I finish responding, please? Many times, they ended up interrupting and talking over each other.
  4. There were several contentious topics, including immigration, the economy, relationship with Israel and Iran, and her relationship with Biden, among others.
  5. Regarding immigration, she continually dodged questions regarding the Biden/Harris policies. She did not accept any responsibility for the disaster at the southern border. She failed to explain her failure as “border Czar” to solve resolve the “root causes” or even visit the border until it became apparent that the issue had become a major negative. She stubbornly declined to concur that halting construction of the border wall or terminating Trump’s “remain in Mexico” policy were mistakes. She tried to deflect blame onto Trump for Congress’ failure to pass a comprehensive bi-partisan immigration bill, which she had championed. Baer interjected to explain that the bill would have made matters worse by giving the current policy the force of law and providing a “pathway to citizenship” for illegal immigrants presently in the US. That comment sparked one of the angry exchanges referred to above. She couldn’t or wouldn’t even disclose how many illegal immigrants had entered the country under her watch.
  6. She refused to elaborate on the controversial matter of Biden’s competence, such as what did she know and when did she know it.
  7. She offered no cogent plans on how to fix the economy, inflation or crime.
  8. Many times, she went to her default answer, which was to blame Trump. At one point, she characterized him as “unstable and unhinged” and questioned his “mental competence to hold office.”
  9. In a related matter Harris declined to attend the annual Al Smith Dinner. This is a non-partisan event hosted by the Catholic Diocese of NY. The goal is to raise money for various Catholic charities. Normally, it is attended by a cross-section of prominent politicians, wealthy executives, donors and members of the media. Attendance is considered a “must” for presidential candidates. Failure to attend is perceived as a “slap in the face” to Catholics. In the 90-year history of the event only one presidential candidate has ever declined to attend. That was Walter Mondale, the Dem candidate for president, in 1984. Coincidentally or not, in the ensuing election Mondale only won one state. Harris claimed she was campaigning, but the truth of the matter is she was already on thin ice with Catholics. She and her far left base are hardcore pro-choice and have been very critical of pro-lifers who have investigated and criticized what they considered to be Planned Parenthood’s “barbarism” toward women who choose to seek alternatives to abortion.

CONCLUSION

It was not a good week for Harris. Her campaign aides and allies in the media will likely try to spin it, but by any objective analysis her attempt to use the Bret Baer interview to widen her appeal had the opposite effect.

Likewise, Catholics will perceive her spurning the Al Smith Dinner as an insult.

All that said, the polls released in the last couple of days did not show any discernable movement. The race is still too close to call. Most everyone agrees it will be determined by the turnout for each candidate.

GET OUT AND VOTE!

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2024 PRESIDENTIAL UPDATE. MO FAVORS TRUMP.

Historically, momentum has proven to be a powerful force in elections. Often it is unrecognized or undervalued in the polls – until Election Day when the underdog who has been behind in the polls pulls an unforeseen upset. That is one of the axioms behind the famous expression that “the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day.” In recent history two examples of this phenomenon were Harry Truman defeating Dewey in 1948 and Donald Trump defeating Clinton in 2016. On the rare occasions when this occurs the winners are jubilant; the losers are shocked; and the “experts” are confounded. Who can forget the post-election visage of a grinning Truman holding aloft an early edition of the next day’s Chicago Daily Tribune boldly proclaiming, “Dewey Defeats Truman.”

Presently, all the polls indicate that the election remains very close as it has been for several months. In the national poll, which is essentially meaningless, the latest Guardian poll reports Harris ahead by two points 48% – 46%. It’s worth noting that the Guardian’s previous poll had Harris up by 4%, so Trump would appear to have some momentum.

More importantly, let’s consider the seven swing states that will actually decide the election – AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC, PA, and WI. The latest Emerson and Real Clear Politics polls are consistently reporting that Trump has a slight one or two-point lead in AZ, GA, NV, NC, and PA, and the two are tied in MI and WI. This represents an improvement for Trump compared to the 2020 election and earlier 2024 polls, another hint that Trump is gaining momentum.

Pollster Matt Towery, Insider Advantage, noted that Trump is gaining with African Americans and Hispanics due to the economy and immigration issues. Hispanic citizens, in particular whose forebears emigrated legally, resent the illegal immigrants’ “jumping the line.” This is the opposite of what the Dems no doubt intended with their open-door policy. Ironically, the Dems are being “hoisted on their own petard.” Towery added that the Administration’s inadequate response to hurricanes Helene and Milton was another negative.

Pollster Robert Cahaly (Trafalgar Group) denoted that the polls may be undervaluing Trump. He speculated that there may be a “hidden vote” for him. Other polls may differ very slightly but taken as a whole the polls are indicating that Trump appears to have the momentum.

There is palpable pessimism among the Harris supporters. One senior Dem source apprised the NY Post that the Dems were “not in a Blue Wall panic… but they were concerned.” MI Dem Rep Elise Slotkin acknowledged “we have her underwater in our polling.”

Below please find what I consider to be the key recent developments based on multiple media reports:

  1. Trump is on the right side of the issues that voters have opined concerns them the most in this election – the economy, inflation, the border/illegal immigration, crime and security. The numbers with respect to these issues speak for themselves and cannot be explained away by the Dems with vague generalities, platitudes, and anti-Trump utterances.
  2. The electorate is gradually becoming cognizant that Harris’ reluctance to disclose her specific views on the issues is because she is hiding them in order to get elected. Her real views as expressed over her entire political career prior to becoming the nominee are so far to the left as to be downright scary. Even though she has given a few tv interviews recently with friendly journalists she has not acquitted herself well. She is still prone to giving rambling, non-responsive answers. In her recent interview with 60 Minutes a few of her answers were so embarrassing that the network had to edit them before showing them on tv.
  3. Based on polls in the swing states Trump is gaining among men, particularly Black and Hispanic men. Traditionally, Dem candidates have held decisive edges with these groups, but there are signs of much concern this year. For instance, recently the Harris campaign has launched ads aimed specifically aimed at Black and Hispanic men. Various observers, such as TX Rep Wesley Hunt, are predicting that Trump will have “the highest male Black vote of any Republican president[ial candidate] in modern history.” According to a recent NAACP survey 25% of Black men under 50 disclosed they would vote for Trump. This may not seem like much, but it represents a sizeable increase over previous election cycles.
  4. As a further indication of the extent of the Dems’ concerns regarding the above trends former President Obama in a recent speech actually lectured Blacks that it is “not acceptable for Black men to support Trump.” In addition, he asserted (incorrectly) that Black men are opposed to Harris based on her gender. I don’t believe that this insulting, demeaning and highhanded attitude will help the Dems with male Blacks.
  5. Moreover, local radio host Dan O’Donnell reported to the NY Post that the Harris campaign has taken the unusual tact of targeting Blacks in Philadelphia by advertising on hip-hop radio stations in the area.
  6. The NY Post reported that Black men such as Rafael Smith, a former Harris supporter from MI, has switched to Trump because he feels the Dems have taken his and other Blacks’ support for granted “just because [Harris] is a woman of color.” He said “I don’t really think they’re looking at what she has done within the last 3 1/2 years…”
  7. Another implication of concern among Dems is the appearance of former president Bill Clinton. The so-called “Big Dog” has commenced campaigning in NC and GA.
  8. Harris has committed to participate in a town hall interview on October 23 that will be hosted by CNN. As we all know, a town hall format is not exactly in her wheelhouse. In my view, this is a further illustration of her concern that her campaign is flailing.
  9. Trump has expressed his views and intentions on the issues very clearly. For example, he will not “pussyfoot” around with illegals, particularly those who have committed crimes against Americans. He states that his Administration “will either ‘put these vicious and bloodthirsty criminals in jail or get them the hell out of our country.’ ” He has even floated the idea of invoking the seldom-used Alien Enemies Act of 1798, which authorizes the president to “apprehend, restrain, secure and remove [those who] are deemed a threat to the US during wartime.” This language may be extreme or even illegal, but it resonates with those who are sick and tired of illegal aliens strutting into the US unrestrained and then preying upon US citizens.
  10. Trump has made other promises that show he is cognizant of voters’ major concerns. For example, he will “drill, baby drill;” he will deal more aggressively with Iran; and he will support Israel more strongly in its war against Iran and its terrorist proxies. He will not tax overtime pay or tips; he will eliminate the double taxation being levied against Americans living and working abroad; he will make interest on car loans tax deductible; and he will extend the Trump tax cuts that are scheduled to expire in 2025. These will primarily benefit middle class and working-class voters, which counters the Dem’s claim that his policies favor the wealthy.
  11. Despite multiple credible plots reported against him and two actual assassination attempts the government has still not acceded to all of the Trump campaign’s requests for enhanced security. Some Trump supporters have seriously questioned why, insinuating it may be part of a sinister assassination plot to leave Trump exposed.

CONCLUSION

As I said above, it appears that Trump has grabbed the momentum. He knows it; the Harris campaign knows it; you know it; and I know it. Just look at the substantial and enthusiastic crowds he draws wherever he goes. Just look at the signs of concern or even panic in the Harris campaign as delineated above.

Whether it’s due to a bias in the polling or the reluctance of some supporters to admit they will be voting for Trump, remember his appeal was undervalued in the polls in both 2016 and to a lesser extent in 2020. One caveat is that the election is far from over. A lot can happen between now and ED to swing the election, but at the present time it’s looking good.

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MY NIGHTMARE

I am living in a nightmare, a horrible, never-ending nightmare from which I fear there will be no waking up. So are all of you, except the difference is I am cognizant of it, whereas many of you are not.

What nightmare, you say? Simply put, we are on the cusp of electing a true Marxist/Communist as president of the US. I never thought I would see the day, but in five weeks I may. We are about to do to ourselves what Russia, China, Germany, Japan, and all of our other enemies through the years have not been able to do. We have repelled all those who would take away our freedoms, who would destroy our way of life.

What no one has been able to do to us, we are about to do to ourselves. Who, you may ask? Why, you may ask? If you don’t know, that is the root cause of the problem. The “who” is easy. It’s Kamala Harris, AKA “Komrade Kamala.” The why is more complicated.

The best answer I can ascertain is that half the country has a deranged, irrational, unwarranted, misguided hatred for KK’s opponent, Donald Trump. Many of them don’t know why they hate him so much; they just know that they do. It’s not necessarily his policies; it’s him, personally. They continue to parrot what they hear from his opponents and the biased media. “He’s evil; he’s a Nazi; he’s Hitler; he’s a threat to democracy; he’s a tool of the Russians; he’s Putin’s pal; if he were to become president, he will be a dictator; he will never leave office.” As I have discussed in previous blogs, these characterizations are preposterous. They have no basis in fact. None. He already was president. You may not have agreed with some or all of his policies. That is your right. But he was not a dictator.

When he lost his bid for re-election he left office voluntarily. Sure, he questioned the veracity of the result, but it was his right to do so, particularly since it was a very close election. This was not unique. I have discussed this issue in a previous blog, and there is no need to repeat it all now. Suffice to say, students of history will recall that many other losers have challenged election results all the way back to Andrew Jackson challenging his defeat by John Quincy Adams in 1824. Hillary Clinton is still claiming she won in 2016. The media doesn’t criticize her for that.

Labelling him as “evil,” “Hitler,” or a “Nazi” is not only false; it is dangerous, provocative, irresponsible, and disrespectful of the memory of the millions whom the Nazis murdered in the Holocaust. One may disagree with some or all of Trump’s policies, but those who label them as those of a Nazi are merely showing their ignorance of what the Nazis really did. Hitler was in a class by himself with respect to “evil.” I trust I don’t need to edify you as to what he did. Finally, one should be careful when one labels an opposing politician as “evil.” Serial killers are evil. Mass murders are evil. Terrorists who murder innocent people are evil. A politician who espouses a different opinion than you is not evil. To label him or her as such gives a deranged, unbalanced person the idea that he has license to murder that person. As a matter of fact, many people believe that was the root cause of the two attempted assassinations of Donald Trump.

On the other hand, most of KK’s supporters, due to ignorance or inattentiveness, are unaware of KK’s true values and policies. Indeed, I have talked to many of them and invariably they don’t have the foggiest notion of most of KK’s policies. No one does, probably not even KK herself. Their reasons are a version of, “well, she seems nice;” or “she would be the first woman of color to be president;” or “she’s better than Joe Biden;” or “she’s not Trump.”

Those are ridiculous reasons. Anyone who votes for her on that basis without understanding her policies and their effect on him or her and the country as a whole is acting irresponsibly. Such a person is making a mockery of the precious and sacred right to vote. It is incumbent upon each of us to do at least a modicum of research so we can vote from knowledge, not ignorance.

I can understand why so many people are being gaslighted. KK rarely speaks in public, and when she does it is highly controlled, highly scripted, with a teleprompter, and with a friendly journalist who will ask softball questions and won’t ask follow-up or clarifying questions. She only speaks in platitudes, slogans, or generalities. She is mendacious. All candidates exaggerate, obfuscate, and twist the facts. She has taken it to an extreme. She downright lies. She knows a compliant media will not challenge her nor fact-check her.

I could write an entire blog on this, but I will give you one glaring example. Abortion has been and still is a “hot button” issue. In fact, it is probably the only issue the Dems have, even if it is specious and spurious at this point. KK is or should be cognizant of this. Nevertheless, she has been claiming that Trump is in favor of a national ban on abortion. That is simply not true. He has never said that. In fact, he has said he supports the recent SCOTUS ruling. Additionally, even if he wanted to it would not be within his power to enact such a ban. Pursuant to the recent SCOTUS ruling it is up to the citizens of each state to decide its own abortion law. There is no longer a standard national abortion policy, nor should there be. No one person or group of persons should be allowed to impose their beliefs on the entire country.

KK won’t disclose any specifics, because she knows that if the voters were aware of what they truly were she would lose in a landslide. So far, with the assistance of a biased media, she is getting away with this strategy. She has been answering all questions with the same canned responses such as she wants to “help the middle class, the rich should pay their fair share [whatever that is], and everyone should have the same opportunity to succeed.” She never explains specifically how she will achieve these goals, nor why she has not done so in the past 3 1/2 years, nor why she isn’t doing so right now. This should tell you that she is, in the words of Joe Biden, “full of malarkey.”

In my opinion, if you’re going to vote for a person who intends to wipe out 275 years of the best political, economic and social system the world has ever seen at least have the facts, at least be aware of what you are doing. In my experience, most of her supporters are not, don’t know, or don’t want to know. As my good friend and loyal reader Rich F. is fond of saying, “my mind’s already made up. Don’t confuse me with the facts.”

All they know is they hate Trump. Why? What did he do? What did he say. Many of them don’t know, and they don’t care. They just hate him, and they refuse to vote for him. My friends, that is irrational. They believe that by not voting for Trump they are punishing him. Not true. They would be punishing themselves, as the saying goes, “cutting off their nose to spite their face.”

Yes, Trump would be disappointed. No one likes to lose. But he would quickly recover. He would return to his previous life, which was just fine thank you very much. On the other hand, the rest of us would be left to suffer the consequences, which would not be pretty. Hence, my nightmare.

Our Founding Fathers would be rolling over in their graves. All the people who died for this country in all the wars we have fought for some 275 years would be rolling over in their graves. Your children and grandchildren will be wondering “what in the hell were you thinking.”

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TRUMP RALLY AT NASSAU COLISEUM

On Wednesday, September 17, Trump hosted a massive rally at Nassau Coliseum located in Uniondale, NY. According to multiple media reports there were some 60,000 requests for tickets to the venue. People were lined up outside for hours hoping to get a seat inside. This is typical of every Trump rally. There were seats for only 16,000 fans. The rest were content to watch and listen outside on large viewing screens. According to multiple published reports the crowd was friendly and orderly, and there were no incidents of rowdiness or violence. Most importantly, no assassination attempts.

The primary purpose of Trump’s appearance was to provide a boost to various GOP candidates who are embroiled in tough House of Representatives races in Nassau and Westchester Counties. Additionally, he has hopes of winning NYS. Currently, that seems unrealistic. However, Lee Zeldin, who lost a close gubernatorial race to Governor Kathy Hochul in 2022 denotes that at this point in his campaign a Siena poll reported him to be down 17 points, so I guess anything’s possible.

One significant issue he discussed was Harris’ record with respect to antisemitism, Hamas, and Israel. He asserted that she has done “absolutely nothing” to counteract the “surging” antisemitism in the US. She has not condemned it or even acknowledged it as a problem. Furthermore, she has demonstrated a pro-Hamas/anti-Israel bias with respect to the Middle East. He “challenged” Harris to “disavow the support of all Hamas sympathizers” who are supporting her and her campaign and there are many including some members of Congress. Of course, she will never do that because she needs their support to win, and they are in alignment with her “core beliefs” anyway. I have also discussed this issue in previous blogs, as well as expressed my incredulity as to why any Jew with a sense of history and who believes in the importance of Israel would ever vote for her.

Another key issue was illegal immigration and the border. Anyone who has been paying attention is aware of the failure of the Biden-Harris Administration to deal with this extreme crisis. Harris, the “Border Czar,” has basically denied its existence. She keeps blaming Trump for Congress’ failure to pass the border bill that BH backed, but she doesn’t disclose that the bill contained severe flaws that would have made the crisis worse, not better. She also neglects to acknowledge that BH could resolve the matter immediately by executive order.

Trump’s policy fix for illegal immigration is well-known. Among other things, he has asserted he would finish building the border wall, require illegals to remain in Mexico while awaiting approval to enter the US, halt the flood of fentanyl and other illegal drugs that are killing thousands of Americans, curtail sanctuary cities’ lack of cooperation with the feds, empower ICE to identify and locate the illegal aliens currently residing in the US, and carry out “the largest deportation operation in the history of our country.” You may say, “how could he do all this? The answer is he did do it, all of it, during his presidency.

One final note on this issue. Yesterday, a whistle blower came forward with some explosive revelations. Testifying before a US House Committee on Homeland Security Aaron Heitke, a retired San Diego Border Patrol Chief disclosed that the BH Administration severely hampered their efforts by, among other things, reducing their manpower. Furthermore, his sector was experiencing an “exponential” increase in “Significant Interest Aliens,” i. e. those with “significant ties to terrorism.” Nevertheless, the BH Administration instructed him not to report this increase, because it “was trying to convince the public that there was no threat at the border.”

It is worth noting that according to the NY Post since Biden was forced out and replaced by Harris Trump and Vance have participated in excess of 70 interviews, press conferences and rallies with a wide variety of audiences and answered a multitude of questions. In contrast, Harris has done three interviews since July 21, that’s right three, all with “friendly” interviewers who ask her general, vague questions with no follow-up and no fact-checking. Walz has been largely MIA. And yet, despite this disparity the polls have continued to report them to be within the margin of error. Moreover, some of them have published contradictory results. For example, yesterday, I saw one poll that reported Harris ahead in Michigan, and another poll taken during the same time period that reported Trump ahead.

The Dem strategy, which I predicted months ago, appears to be working just like it did with Biden in 2020. It is very simple. Hide from the media, say as little as possible, do not answer any questions directly, disguise your far-left policies and beliefs, blame Trump and the GOP for everything, and rely on the media to support you. Also, convince the voters you have changed your views from far-left to moderate, and then after the election you can revert to your true policies. Harris has been insisting that her core values have not changed. Believe her.

The NY Post has denoted that at this rate Harris will have granted the fewest interviews of any major party’s nominee ever. I have discussed this gaslighting strategy, in detail, in previous blogs, and there is no need to regurgitate it here.

Harris has been flip-flopping on virtually all of her policies; the media has let her get away with it; and many, if not most, voters are totally unaware of it. This strategy worked in 2020, and so far, it is working again in 2024. How else can one explain the close polls. I have no doubt that if voters were cognizant of Harris’ true values and policies she would lose in a landslide. You know it; I know it; and, most significantly, her handlers know it.

Even in these softball interviews Harris has had some “awkward” moments, many of which have been well-chronicled in the media. For instance:

  1. On how she would implement her policy of slavery reparations, which she has advocated, she told the National Association of Black Journalists, “We need to speak truth about the generational impact of our history, in terms of the generational impact of slavery, the generational impact of redlining, of Jim Crow laws.”
  2. On how she would bring down prices she told Philadelphia’s ABC outlet, “We as Americans have beautiful character. We have ambitions and aspirations and dreams. But not everyone necessarily has access to the resources that can help them fuel those dreams and ambitions.”
  3. As stated in the Atlanta Journal Constitution with respect to her mandatory gun surrender program, which is a thinly-veiled gun confiscation program, she has stated that “police could walk into the home of legal gun owners to confiscate their weapons.”
  4. Another favorite non-sequitur has been “The children of the community are the children of the community.”
  5. She also has an annoying habit of altering her speech according to her audience. I view this as a demeaning and transparent attempt to identify with the audience.
  6. Lately, she has been answering every question by relating how she was “raised in a middle-class family” (not true) where every household had a neat lawn. Huh?

None of these responses comes remotely close to answering the questions. I’m not sure what she said, and probably she doesn’t either, but those “word salad” responses are typical. None of the questioners asked a follow-up question. They just nodded sagely and moved on to the next fatuous question.

CONCLUSION

Something must be done to tone down the rhetoric before someone gets killed. This is the most contentious and divisive election I can recall. Trump has already been attacked twice, and he is the obvious primary target, but, in actuality, any politician could be assassinated at any time. No sane person should want that, (note the word “sane.”)

In my view, virtually all of the hate rhetoric has come from the Dems and their supporters and has been aimed at Trump. Much of it has come not from deranged crackpots, but from politicians (such as Biden, Harris, Hillary Clinton, and Chuck Schumer), members of the media (such as The View ladies, Morning Joe and various anchors and guests on CNN and MSNBC), and other “responsible “people who should know better. Even worse, it’s also became a favorite tactic to blame Trump for his own assassination attempts! It is one thing to criticize someone, but it is irresponsible to call someone “evil,” “Hitler” and a “threat to democracy.” For one thing, it is not true. For another, it is disrespectful and insulting to Jews and other victims of the Holocaust. In addition, it actually diminishes the extent of Hitler’s turpitude. It was truly incomparable. I have discussed this in previous blogs, and there is no need to repeat it here.

The Atlanta Journal Constitution has reported that 28% of Dems and 17% of all respondents felt America would have been “better off” if Trump had actually been assassinated. That is shocking, but it is a good example of the moral decline of America. I’d like to think that America is better than this. At least, I used to think that, but now I’m not so sure.

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KAMALA HARRIS

It’s time for you to meet the real Kamala Harris, aka Kackling Kamala (“KK”), not the media version that the Dem and media spin doctors are currently spewing out, but the real, unvarnished, unedited version that we have seen and heard for some 20 years. According to multiple media reports she was the most liberal, far-left senator. She was even to the left of avowed Socialist, Bernie Sanders. I can’t conceive of there being any room to the left of Sanders, but somehow, she found it.

Currently, the Dems are doing what they always do to deceive the voters and win elections. For 3 1/2 years or so they pursue their true left-leaning policies, and then as election day approaches, they spin their positions and statements in order to get re-elected. Then, after ED they return to their true policies. It always reminds me of George Orwell’s novel 1984 where the government-dominated media periodically alters information it disseminates to the public at its whim. Orwell’s novel was fictional, but much of what he wrote is coming true today. More on this later.

Kamala Devi Harris was born on October 20, 1964 in Oakland, CA. Her father, Donald Harris, who was born in Jamaica and emigrated to the US in 1961, was a professor of economics at Stanford University in Berkley, CA. Her mother, Shyamala, was a biologist, who was born in India, and had emigrated to the US in 1958. They met in 1962 and married in 1963. Kamala has one sister, Maya. Robert and Shyamala divorced when Kamala was seven.

Due to Kamala’s parents’ work the family moved around quite a bit. KK spent part of her childhood in Montreal and various areas of the Midwest before settling in Berkeley in 1970. While in elementary school she was, as she denoted in the 2019 presidential debate, bused from a predominately black public school to a 95% white school in a more affluent neighborhood.

KK declared her candidacy for President on January 21, 2019. Her campaign was short and not so sweet. She fared very poorly in the second debate enduring criticism of her record as CA attorney general by Biden and Tulsi Gabbard. Afterwards, her poll numbers crashed into the single digits and her funding dried up. On December 3, 2019, she withdrew and promptly endorsed Biden, a fortuitous move.

She became VP due to an unlikely series of events. Following his nomination Biden was pressured to select a black woman as his running mate. James Clyburn and others advised him that “African American women needed to be rewarded for their loyalty.” The pressure mounted in the wake of the George Floyd murder. Biden, no doubt recalling KK’s early endorsement chose her. The ticket won a close election, and KK became the first female, first African American, and first Asian American VP.

As VP KK has become a prime example of the “Peter Principle.” This term, which was first formulated by educationalist, Laurence Peter, holds that a person will continually earn advancements until he or she reaches a position in which he or she “reaches a level of incompetence.” Regardless of her pros and cons in her prior positions KK is generally considered to be among the worst, if not the worst, VPs ever. She has had one of the lowest approval ratings and highest staff turnover rates of any vp. Critics and former staff members have derided her “abrasive” management style, her laziness and her penchant for berating subordinates.

If you want to vote for KK at least be cognizant of what policies you are voting for. According to a poll published by RealClear Politics in April only 39% of registered voters had a favorable view of Harris. In 2019 Harris was ranked as “the most politically left” senator by the nonpartisan GovTrack organization. As I said, she was even ranked as more extreme than avowed Socialist, Bernie Sanders.

As I said, the Dems and the media have been and will continue to sanitize and modify Harris’ political views. But don’t be gaslighted. By her own admission she fully supports all of Biden’s policies. She has espoused her real views over a 20-year career. Below please find a list of some of them paraphrased from her own words based on interviews by several media outlets such as CBS, CNN, MSNBC and others. To quote the late Joe Louis: “[S]he can run, but [s]he can’t hide.”

  1. As “border czar” she did nothing to curtail the onslaught of illegal migrants. She didn’t even deign to visit the various border hotspots to view the situation firsthand. In fact, she has proclaimed she favors unfettered, unlimited immigration and full rights for illegals, including free education and healthcare. In doing so, she has, in effect, supported human trafficking, sexual and other abuse of women and children and abetted the increased risk of terrorism, crime, and inflation. She wants to decriminalize illegal border crossings. Without effective borders we would no longer have a viable country.
  2. She was an early and staunch supporter of the Green New Deal, an ill-conceived, ill-advised program that will cost trillions of dollars, explode inflation, and adversely impact our lives in a plethora of ways.
  3. She supports a universal single payer healthcare system for everyone. A government-run system similar to that of Canada and Europe would replace private insurance. Ask any resident of those areas how that system is working out for them.
  4. She supports eliminating ICE or at least sharply curtailing its powers.
  5. She would ban various quality of life choices such as gas cars, red meat and plastic straws. MIDWESTERNERS, ARE YOU PAYING ATTENTION?
  6. She would ban offshore drilling and fracking. VOTERS IN PA, OH, AND TX, ARE YOU PAYING ATTENTION?
  7. She would abolish the Senate filibuster. At times, this rule can be annoying, but it has encouraged deliberation and served the purpose of preventing the railroading of legislation.
  8. She has espoused defunding the police.
  9. She supported the rioters in 2020 (“They won’t stop and should not.”), no-bail laws and established a fund to bail out criminals.
  10. She favors unrestricted abortions up to the moment of birth and perhaps beyond. This is only supported by a small sliver of voters and is tantamount to infanticide.
  11. She supports raising taxes to as high as 80%. Even that would not be sufficient to pay for all of the programs she has espoused.
  12. She supports a mandatory government sponsored buyback program for guns owned by private citizens. Many gun owners view this as nothing more than a thinly disguised confiscation program.
  13. She has denigrated and demeaned 18–24-year-olds characterizing them “stupid.” “That’s why they live in dormitories with resident advisors.” Kamala, how about all the 18-24-year-olds who work and support their families or those who serve in the military? That was just one example of the inane things she has said periodically. Another one would be when she gave a speech saying the US and “North Korea” have enjoyed a “long and enduring alliance.” Really?
  14. She supports regulating “hate speech,” which is code for censorship.
  15. As I have blogged previously the majority of her words and actions have made it clear that she is anti-Israel and pro-Hamas. She cares more about the Muslim vote in Michigan and other states than our most reliable ally in the ME.
  16. She has made tasteless jokes about killing Donald Trump. It’s irresponsible talk like that that may have inspired the would-be assassin in Butler, PA and perhaps others prospectively.
  17. Her penchant for kackling is most annoying, embarrassing and unprofessional. Can you her imagine being in a serious meeting with Putin and suddenly bursting out with one of her kackling episodes?

CONCLUSION

Well, there you have it, the real, unvarnished thoughts and opinions of Kamala Harris in her own words. As I said, if you want to vote for her, fine. By all means, it is your right to do so. Just be cognizant of whom and what you are voting for. Don’t be gaslighted.

Even if you hate and despise Trump on a personal level remember you should vote for the policies, not the person. If you’re not happy with the state of your life or the country, if you are worse off today than you were four years ago, strap on your “big boy pants,” hold your nose, suck it up, and vote for Trump. Your kids and your grandkids will thank you.

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ONE THOUSAND

I know what you’re probably thinking. That is an odd title for a blog posting. What does it signify? Well, simply put this is my 1,000th blog posting. I began blogging 12 years ago on September 5, 2012. I had retired three years previously. My wife had suggested I needed to do something to “exercise my mind.” Since I always listen to my wife (“Yes, dear.”) I began this blog. As I write this, my blogs have generated over 36,000 views. They have been read by viewers in 115 countries, and they are regularly posted in The Times of Israel. Nice, but I couldn’t have done it without you, the readers. Thank you for your loyalty.

Now, to the real focus of this blog, our vice president and Dem Party designated nominee for president – KACKLING KAMALA (“KK”).

KK is a creation of the Dem elites. They have adopted her and anointed her as the designated nominee out of desperation following the demise of Joe Biden’s campaign. For various reasons, which I have documented in previous blogs, there is no one else.

She has not earned a single delegate ever. In 2020 her candidacy never got off the ground. It was over before it began. It went broke and was characterized by internal bickering and disfunction. She was forced to suspend her candidacy before the Iowa caucuses. Her earlier career was mediocre at best. I will analyze it in a later blog.

In 2020 Biden selected her as his running mate because the party elites and “wokers” told him he had to select a black female. Biden didn’t want her. She had no power base; she didn’t add much, if anything, to the ticket; and they had clashed in the debates. But being “good old malleable Joe” he caved like a cheap suit.

The power elites wanted her now because she will be Biden reincarnate, Biden without the age and cognitive issues. Like Joe, she will accede to their wishes. Make no mistake about it. She was and is in accord with Biden’s misguided policies. If you didn’t like Biden’s policies you surely will not like hers.

Actually, there is evidence that her political philosophy is to the “left” of Biden and even Bernie Sanders in many areas. Reporting in the NY Post columnist Isaac Schorr characterized her as a “far-left authoritarian demagogue,” “Biden on steroids.” More on this below. If she were to win, she will be president in name only. The same hidden cadre of power elites will be running things. Once again, democracy and the will of the people will have been thwarted.

As vp KK has been a disaster. She has no positive achievements of her own. Probably, her biggest failure was immigration at the southern border. Biden designated her as “border Czar,” and assigned her the task of resolving the problem. It was a chance to demonstrate her mettle, and she failed. I have discussed this in detail in pervious blogs. In summary, she didn’t even bother to visit the problem areas of the border, and presently, the situation is worse than ever.

Below please find some samples of KK’s political positions, many of which are far to the left of the mainstream and would be detrimental to the country.

  1. While in the Senate she was a strong supporter of the ill-advised Green New Deal, which basically would terminate thousands of blue collar and middle-class workers’ jobs, bankrupt the country, and result in the demise of the fossil fuels industry.
  2. She wants to ban fracking. Are you paying attention PA, OH, Texas and the rest of the oil-producing states?
  3. She favors the “Medicare-for-All program, which, essentially, would terminate all private insurance plans in favor of socialized medicine.
  4. Her tax ideas are totally inane. She favors raising taxes. She has not put forth any sensible plan and has not demonstrated even a modicum of business or finance knowledge, but she did characterize the idea of a tax rate of 80% as “fantastic.”
  5. She was a leading proponent of defunding the police.
  6. She has been a strong critic of ICE, and if elected she would probably abolish it or at least sharply curtail its power.
  7. She often “shoots from the hip” without any analysis or thought. For example, early on, before all the facts were known she characterized the Jussie Smollett hoax as a “modern day lynching.”
  8. She advocated funding bail for all who are arrested, particularly those who had rioted in the cities in 2020.
  9. She favors a sweeping amnesty for illegal immigrants, more extreme than Biden.
  10. However, perhaps most destructive is her antipathy against Israel, our only reliable ally in the Middle East, and its leader, Benjamin Netanyahu. She is more extreme than Biden was. In my view, her attitude and actions have indicated a pro-Hamas bias. She is more in line with the attitude of the Squad and other antisemites in her party. For example, she will be boycotting Netanyahu during his visit to the US. This sends a very bad signal to the rest of the world, but she is either oblivious to that fact or simply doesn’t care. I repeat what I have said many times already. Why any Jew would vote for the Dems is beyond me.

CONCLUSION

Currently, KK is in a “honeymoon period.” The media is hyping her as the savior of democracy. This is what they do. For years they protected Biden. Now they will do the same for KK.

Voters should not be deceived. She is not well known to much of the country. Hopefully, as they get more familiar with her, her warts will be exposed.

Don’t forget all her faults and failures as listed above. If she were to win the country would go “from the frying pan to the fire.”

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DT PICKS JT AS VP

Donald Trump didn’t waste any time. He could have kept us in suspense a day or so longer. He could have maintained the drama and uncertainty a bit longer. But he chose not to do so. He had made up his mind. He knew whom he wanted, and as is his nature he acted decisively. As most of you know by now, he picked Ohio freshman Senator J. D. Vance as his running mate. As is customary, the convention delegates then approved him by acclimation.

Some observers were a little surprised. Vance was on Trump’s short list along with Florida Senator Marco Rubio, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, biotech billionaire Vivek Ramaswamy, North Dakota governor Doug Burgum and some others. Each of them would have brought pros and cons to the ticket. Eventually, it came down to Burgum and Vance. In the end, he went with Vance. Was Vance a wise choice? Will he help Trump, hurt him, or have no discernible effect? In the recent past there have been examples of candidates for president being elected despite their choices for VP (FDR in 1944, Eisenhower in 1952 and 1956, and Bush, the elder, in 1988). In my view, it depends. Vance brings both pros and cons to the ticket. See below for my analysis.

Vance’s life story is, in many ways, a microcosm of the true “American Dream.” It is an embodiment of how one can, through hard work, determination, and perhaps a little luck, rise above the circumstances of his birth and achieve greatness. It’s a cliche, but in his case it is true. There have been many examples of this. As they say, “only in America.”

He was born on August 2,1984 in Middletown, OH. His birth name was James Donald Bowman. Later, he was adopted by his mother’s third husband, and his surname was changed to Hamel.

His beginning was as bad as it gets. His family was very poor. He suffered through a terrible childhood plagued by violence and abuse. His father was not in the picture. His mother suffered from drug addiction. His parents divorced soon after his birth, and he was raised primarily by his maternal grandparents whom he called “Mamaw’ and “Papaw.” He recalled, “I grew up poor in the Rust Belt in an Ohio steel town that ha[d] been hemorrhaging jobs and hope for as long as I can remember.” There was never enough money for food and other necessities. He recalled his Mamaw often had to “negotiate” with social services personnel for extra food. Yep. It doesn’t get any worse than that. Yet, Vance exhibited the strength, courage and fortitude to overcome it all.

Upon graduating from high school Vance enlisted in the Marines. He served in Iraq first as a combat correspondent and later in the Public Affairs section. He characterized this period as the “defining chapter of [my] life where [I] first developed a sense of purpose.”

After he was discharged, he attended Ohio State University from which he graduated Summa Cum Laude in two years. Then, he attended Yale Law School where he was editor of the Yale Law Journal and President of the Yale Law Veterans Association. Upon graduation he married and adopted his grandparents’ surname of “Vance.” He had a very successful business career in technology and venture capital, and he wrote a best-selling book based on his upbringing called Hillbilly Elegy, which was also made into an Academy Award-nominated movie starring Gabriel Basso, Amy Adams and Glenn Close.

Politically, Vance is generally viewed as a conservative, which should appease the right wing of the GOP, although I’m not sure how the all-important independents will view him. For example, he has been opposed to abortion and same-sex marriage. Moreover, until recently he was sharply critical of Trump. In fact, he was an avowed “never-Trumper.” He went so far as to characterize Trump as “reprehensible,” cultural heroin,” an “opioid of the masses,” a “cynical a**hole, and “America’s Hitler.” He denigrated his policies as ranging from “immoral to absurd.” However, after observing Trump’s record and accomplishments as president he abruptly changed his opinion, and he became a strong supporter. He endorsed Trump way back in January 2023.

Politically, he has since exhibited some similarities to Trump and also some differences. For example, he is an advocate of a strong, secure border and is a strong supporter of Israel. On the other hand, as I mentioned above, he has expressed opposition to abortion and same-sex marriages.

If elected Vance, 39, would become one of the youngest VPs ever. The youngest was John Breckenridge who was 36 when he took office in 1821. A bit of trivia: he would also become the first Ohio native to be elected to the office since Charles Dawes in 1924 and the first VP since Charles Curtis to sport facial hair (1929-1933 under Herbert Hoover).

Vance is married with three children. His wife, Usha Chilukuri is an accomplished attorney who was a classmate at Yale Law School and who has clerked for Supreme Court Justices Brett Kavanaugh and John Roberts.

CONCLUSION

Vance was a bold choice for VP. I believe he brings both pros and cons to the ticket. As I said, his life story is most inspiring. It is an embodiment of the American Dream. As political commentator David Graham wrote in The Atlantic “he brings youth and intellect to the Republican ticket.” As Catherine Lucey and John McCormick opined in the Wall Street Journal he “offers Trump a natural successor to his MAGA movement. Trump had often said that this would be a critical element of his choice for VP.

On the other hand, there is much in his background for the Dem and Dem-supporting “spin doctors” in the media to attack, and they will definitely do so. They always do, and they are very effective at it. Their primary targets will likely be so-called “women’s issues” such as his early stance on abortion and same-sex marriage. Earlier in his career he was strongly opposed to abortion. He has since moderated his stance on the issue. He now characterizes it as a “state issue,” but the Dems will still attack him on it as it is probably their best (only?) issue. Additionally, they will gleefully repeat his early characterizations of Trump as listed above.

Yes, this was a bold choice by Trump. Despite all the recent negativity surrounding the Biden campaign and the well-publicized panic among many Dems who want him to withdraw, this is still a close election. My analysis of state-by-state polls reveals that Trump is currently ahead in states totaling 300 electoral votes, however, many of those margins are very narrow and within the margin of error. Also, it is still very early in the campaign, and history tells us that a lot can happen and often has happened between now and Election Day.

In summary, I believe Trump could have made a safer choice, one which would have been harder for the Dems and their allies to attack, but bottom line, I think Vance is a solid choice who will be efficacious to the ticket.

Whether or not that translates into victory remains to be seen. As always, the decisive factors will be organization and turnout. In 2020 and 2022 the Dems excelled in these areas, particularly in early voting and ballot harvesting. The GOP did not. The Trump campaign has to match the Dems in these areas, or it could very well lose.

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